Bradford East

2015 Result:
Conservative: 4682 (11.3%)
Labour: 19312 (46.6%)
Lib Dem: 12228 (29.5%)
Green: 871 (2.1%)
UKIP: 4103 (9.9%)
Others: 210 (0.5%)
MAJORITY: 7084 (17.1%)

Category: Semi-marginal Labour seat

Geography: Yorkshire and the Humber, West Yorkshire.

Main population centres:

Profile:

Politics:


Current MP
IMRAN HUSSAIN (Labour) Born Bradford. Barrister. Bradford councillor. Contested Bradford West 2012 by-election. First elected as MP for Bradford East in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 10860 (27%)
Lab: 13272 (33%)
LDem: 13637 (34%)
BNP: 1854 (5%)
Oth: 834 (2%)
MAJ: 365 (1%)
2005*
Con: 5569 (16%)
Lab: 14622 (43%)
LDem: 11111 (32%)
BNP: 2061 (6%)
Oth: 1034 (3%)
MAJ: 3511 (10%)
2001
Con: 8450 (24%)
Lab: 17419 (50%)
LDem: 6924 (20%)
BNP: 1613 (5%)
Oth: 611 (2%)
MAJ: 8969 (26%)
1997
Con: 10723 (26%)
Lab: 23493 (56%)
LDem: 6083 (15%)
Oth: 369 (1%)
MAJ: 12770 (30%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Bradford North

Demographics
2015 Candidates
IFTIKHAR AHMED (Conservative) Educated at Buttershaw Upper School and Bradford University. Management consultant.
IMRAN HUSSAIN (Labour) Born Bradford. Barrister. Bradford councillor. Contested Bradford West 2012 by-election.
DAVID WARD (Liberal Democrat) Born 1953, Lincoln. Educated at Boston Grammar School and Bradford University. Business Development Manager at Leeds Metropolitan University. Bradford councillor since 1984. Contested Bradford North 1990 by-election, 1992, 2001 & 2005. MP for Bradford East 2010 to 2015. Was reprimanded by the Lib Dem chief whip in 2013 for his use of language after using a message on holocaust remembrance day criticising "the Jews" for inflicting atrocities on the Palestinians. In July 2013 he had the Liberal Democrat whip suspended over further comments about Israel.
OWAIS RAJPUT (UKIP) Born Jammu and Kashmir. Educated at Bradford University. Academic.
DAVID STEVENS (Green) Former policeman and local government officer.
JAMES LEWTHWAITE (British Democrats) Born Calcutta. Educated at Cambridge University. Lecturer. Bradford councillor 2004-2008 for the BNP. Contested Bradford South 2010 as a Democratic Nationalist.
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Comments - 158 Responses on “Bradford East”
  1. This isn’t Bradford W though. That is a heavily Asian constituency with a majority of Muslim residents, this one is far more evenly divided between white & Asian (again mainly Muslim) communities. I don’t think these remarks will do him any good – they’ll simply get him into trouble. It is really saying something when Ward has been condemned for anti-Semitism BY GEORGE GALLOWAY of all people; he is a loose cannon & if the LDs are convinced he will lose they may well decide that he’s gone too far & there’s nothing to be lost by suspending or expelling him.

  2. “Martin Bell would complain about the difficulties of being a lone voice in parliament, and he had good relationships with other parties.”

    Good point.

    Being an independent hasn’t done much harm to Sylvia Hermon though, despite her situation being quite a unique one as a NI MP.

  3. Ward will keep his personal vote irrespective of what he says. Most white British people wont be considering the Middle East when they vote.
    I think he holds strong views about these issues but I think he may well he trying to cement some Asian votes.
    But its unlikely – Labour will almost definitely win and its pretty unlikely that they would choose an enthusiastic Zionist in this seat. We lost Rochdale that way.

  4. “This isn’t Bradford W though. That is a heavily Asian constituency with a majority of Muslim residents, this one is far more evenly divided between white & Asian”

    But the fact remains that by being controversial and making such a statement will do him no harm with the 37% Muslim population here. Not to mention that figure has probably increased with the number of White residents decreasing. He has to try and pinch some of that vote from Labour somehow in the same way George Galloway has become a ‘friend of the Muslims’.

  5. I think that labour will get this seat

  6. I’m going to be honest, I don’t really have a problem with what he said. If you read the BBC article about this he gives quite an eloquent defence of his tweet.
    I would think the majority of Britons would actually agree, at least to an extent, with what he is saying.
    His problem is the prior tweets he has made.

  7. All six candidates in Rotherham saved their deposits in 2010 (Lab/Con/LD/BNP/Ind/UKIP).

  8. His comments appear to me to be at best ill-informed, and at worst idiotic – for example using the paraphrase of Kennedy’s “Ich bin…” presumably knowing full well that to many Jews, particularly those who lost relatives in the concentration camps, the use of German may be particularly insensitive. Certainly many of my wife’s relatives would be outraged at this being used in this context.

    Sadly this sort of outburst is all too predictable however especially when our nation’s public service broadcaster is historically, and continues to be, incredibly one-eyed in its coverage of this conflict.

  9. I agree with Jason Harcourt. Ward is one MP, though, who I am sure would stand as an independent were he expelled, and I tend to think he’d do better than the Lib Dem candidate.

  10. Yes, I’d say so too.

  11. Perhaps he should stand as a Liber al-Democrat?

  12. Jason – I think the use of German is not that problematic. Many Holocaust survivors & refugees from Nazi Germany still regard German as their first language and have no problem with using it. The problem was the Nazis, not the German people as a whole, to many (though I accept not all) Jews from Germany and many other countries. Perhaps my mother might be an exception to this!
    The LDs seem to be making noises to the effect that this is a disciplinary matter, and it looks as if some action is likely to be taken against Ward.

  13. I can only speak from my family on that score really, Barnaby, I have had arguments with the wife and in-laws in particular about Germany and Germans, 99% of whom being as horrified about the holocaust as they are, and that Germany itself is a really nice country to visit and the people are very nice.

    Fortunately my stepbrother’s girlfriend is German, and the wife’s somewhat narrow view has been opened as a result to the extent we’ll be staying overnight with her parents on the way back from our holiday next month.

  14. As a stand-up comedian used to say in their act a few years ago, suddenly Germany has all these old folks homes full of people shrugging and saying “I don’t know what came over us”. Denial of participation in a huge crime carried out by German society, which the society as a whole did nothing to oppose.

  15. My great uncle (a US soldier of German descent) was captured and held prisoner by the Wehrmacht during the war, and suffered appalling conditions and treatment exacerbated by the army’s own lack of food. While the Nazis/SS were responsible for the worst atrocities, the rest of the nation and military at the time weren’t fluffy bunnies.

    I don’t think he was invoking anything Holocaust related in using Kennedy’s quote. It was just not well thought through.

  16. The Dutch have some good jokes about German amnesia re 1939-45.

  17. ah, but can you remember them, Runnymede?

  18. Just to remind you all to read Ber Mark’s book on the Warsaw Ghetto if you want to understand what Hamas are up against.

  19. The MP for this seat is best ignored.

    There are a small number of UK consitituencies where a substantial proportion of the electorate are way out of line with respect to British and Western traditions on democracy and human rights. They won’t go away if whoever is in Government tries to mollify them and all too often give them preferential treatment. The sooner that determined and radical action is taken to sort out people who abuse democracy and human rights, even if they happen to come from ethnic minorities, the less damage will be caused.

  20. Labour selection has started. Imran Hussain (Bradford West by-election candidate) is among those seeking nomination.

  21. How much of the Bradford West campaign was Hussain’s fault, do we think, and how much the constituency/regional party?

  22. Would be unfair to pin it on Imran Hussain who is just one person. The complacency of the local party not only during the campaign but reportedly for many years is part of what cost them the seat. The local party’s apparent playing up to clan or biraderi politics was another factor.

  23. In response to MrNameless, almost all of the blame for Labour’s capitulation in Bradford West lies at the door of Bradford Labour.

    They sowed the seeds for Respect’s annihilation of them through the corrupt power structures they had in place, which resulted in the forced selection of Imran Hussein as their candidate over local people who had the support of both the local people and the party.

    These actions lay the fertile ground in which Respect prospered, large numbers of the local Labour party defected in support of Galloway, including some of those who were supposed to be heading Hussain’s campaign. In turn, this helped Respect smash the biraderi system that was running through the core of the constituency.

    I don’t think Imran Hussain covered himself in glory in the campaign, but it seems pretty obvious that Labour intend to have him elected as an MP.

    I think there is potential for real fireworks in both Bradford West and Bradford East in 2015, I’m hoping they don’t disappoint.

  24. In response to MrNamesless, Imran Hussain although was the Labour candidate in Bradford west by-election he wasn’t to blame in my opinion. He was up against George Galloway who none of us can deny is a maverick and formidable opponent and as Neil has said it was the complacency of the national Labour Party that cost the seat. In this years local elections in May 2014 (only 2 years after the by election) Imran Hussain in his own ward which is in Bradford West, got a majority of over 4000 votes over the Respect candidate. The biggest majority in any local election ever in Bradford I think.

    We have to accept Galloway is a good campaigner and knows how’s what to say to win votes. Wether it will work agains remains to be seen….

  25. Labour are still to select candidates in 8 winnable seats. 3 of those are in Bradford.

  26. Labour selection is scheduled for this Saturday.

    According to Urban Echo (a new local paper) the long listed candidates were

    Imran Hussain
    Imran Khan
    Mohammed Taj
    Mohammed Shafiq
    Richard Taylor
    Andrew Scopes
    Shahid Malik

    Malik has since withdrawn from the contest because of new work commitments.

  27. Silly question, but is that Shahid Malik the former Dewsbury MP?

  28. It was indeed – although it seems he pulled out of the race today.

  29. I assume that this constituency was renamed to reflect the fact that Shipley is the real Bradford North?

  30. Dalek- no I don’t think that is right. The boundary changes did stretch what was Bradford North southwards and you couldn’t call a seat extending as far south as Little Horton and Bowling and Barkerend ‘Bradford North’. That, I suspect, is why the seat was renamed Bradford East.

    Shipley is certainly not my idea of the real Bradford North. I don’t think any of Bradford proper falls within it and although some of it comprises Bradford suburbs, I don’t see why it should sacrifice its name and its individuality.

  31. Indeed, there has been a Shipley constituency throughout living memory. The pre-1950 version was much more pro-Labour than the post-1950 one which still essentially exists today.

  32. Has Ashcroft polled this yet? I don’t remember him doing so.

  33. Yes he did 45/23 lead to labour.

  34. Is Ward still Whipless?

  35. No he is not.

  36. Imran Hussain has won Labour selection

  37. Well well well. Labour select the person who lost Bradford West to Galloway in 2011.

  38. To choose the man who so spectacularly lost Bradford West to George Galloway is either a risk, or complete stupidity.

    Respect have announced they are considering standing here with the sole intention of splitting the Labour vote and allowing the pro-Palestinian David Ward to hold on. They’re expected to make their decision in the next couple of weeks.

  39. A case of shooting the messanger total dynamic.

  40. David Ward, who must surely have written off his chances, might now think he has a glimmer of a chance.

  41. David Ward’s personal vote should win the day. Another shock LD hold!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1.

  42. Um no i don’t think so. Despite the act of folly that was preselecting the same guy who got beaten by Galloway the Lord Ashcroft poll lead of 22% to Labour is much too big for Ward to overcome IMHO.

  43. I thought Ward might have a chance when Respect were riding high in Bradford, but now it is just about how close he can keep the Lib Dems.

  44. I don’t think West was so much Hussain’s fault as that of the local Labour Party and Galloway’s popularity. I imagine he will win here, even if Respect do get a candidate together. Their campaigning machine has broken down entirely and while they might keep their deposit I can’t see them affecting the outcome.

  45. Mr Nameless-interesting take on bradford west. Point taken.
    If respect run in bradford east where would their votes come from as they would be competing with the lib dems rather than labour given both galloways and wards views on israel?

  46. “I don’t think West was so much Hussain’s fault as that of the local Labour Party”

    yes, but I think Hussain’s clan pretty much dominated the CLP and therefore he partly oversaw some of these problems

  47. The possibility of Respect putting up a candidate in Bradford East won’t harm Labour IMO, simply because it’s not George Galloway. He could stand as an independent and still win in a Muslim dominated seat. It’s a case of an individual being much, much bigger than the party they represent.

    Except for Salma Yaqoob, who quit a couple of years ago, not a single non-Galloway candidate has come close to winning a Westminster seat.

    Their 2012-elected Bradford councillors now sit as independents and they couldn’t win any new ones this year.

  48. …That said, Bradford’s Labour group have to seriously stop its complacency and look into its own clan identity politics.

  49. Bentheelectionjunkie:

    Respect stood in 4 wards in 2012
    Little Horton – gain from Labour – very marginal between them, this is the safest Labour seat in Bradford in a normal year, so votes came from Labour (they wouldn’t get anywhere near if not)
    Bradford Moor – gain from Lib Dem – has been a Labour win the other two years (though in 2014 extremely close) but in 2012 Labour were third, wel behind the top two, so again, taking votes disproportionately from Labour
    Bowling and Barkerend – they did reasonably well here, but I couldn’t tell you where their votes came from. May have been the Tories?
    Eccleshill – they did quite poorly here IIRC

    The other two (safe LD) wards would give pitifu votes to Respect

  50. Thanks Iain. Food for thought. I am inclined to think that the Respect bubble has burst since 2012, Labour made a mistake by preselecting Khan, but not a gamechanger mistake, and the Lib Dems are in all sorts of problems nationally and with a flawed incumbent. Interesting times.
    Labour gain for me because I can’t get past the Ashcroft poll that showed a 22% lead to Labour. Interested to hear differing opinions?

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