Bolton West

2015 Result:
Conservative: 19744 (40.6%)
Labour: 18943 (39%)
Lib Dem: 1947 (4%)
UKIP: 7428 (15.3%)
TUSC: 209 (0.4%)
Independent: 321 (0.7%)
MAJORITY: 801 (1.6%)

Category: Ultra-marginal Conservative seat

Geography: North West, Greater Manchester. Part of the Bolton council area.

Main population centres: Heaton, Horwich, Westhoughton, Atherton, Blackrod.

Profile: Bolton West contains very little of Bolton itself, just the relatively affluent outskirts like Heaton. The majority of the seat is made up of the suburban and rural commuter belt between Bolton and Wigan, including the town of Horwich (home of Bolton Wanderers) and the former mining towns of Westhoughton and Atherton and the village of Blackrod. The seat is the whitest and the most affluent of the three Bolton seats, with the largest proportion of owner-occupiers..

Politics: A Labour-Conservative marginal, the seat was held by the Conservatives between 1983 and 1997 before falling to Labour in that years landslide. The Conservatives narrowly missed out on the seat in the 2010 election before wining it back in 2015.


Current MP
CHRISTOPHER GREEN (Conservative) Former engineer. Contested Manchester Withington 2010. First elected as MP for Bolton West in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 18235 (38%)
Lab: 18327 (39%)
LDem: 8177 (17%)
UKIP: 1901 (4%)
Oth: 936 (2%)
MAJ: 92 (0%)
2005*
Con: 15175 (37%)
Lab: 17239 (43%)
LDem: 7241 (18%)
UKIP: 524 (1%)
Oth: 364 (1%)
MAJ: 2064 (5%)
2001
Con: 13863 (34%)
Lab: 19381 (47%)
LDem: 7573 (18%)
Oth: 397 (1%)
MAJ: 5518 (13%)
1997
Con: 17270 (35%)
Lab: 24342 (50%)
LDem: 5309 (11%)
Oth: 1374 (3%)
MAJ: 7072 (14%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
CHRISTOPHER GREEN (Conservative) Engineer. Contested Manchester Withington 2010.
JULIE HILLING (Labour) Born 1955, Oxford. Educated at Cedars School and Nottingham University. Trade union organiser. MP for Bolton West 2010 to 2015.
ANDREW MARTIN (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Cambridge University. Fitness instructor. Bolton councillor since 2014.
BOB HORSEFIELD (UKIP) Lighting technician.
ANDY SMITH (Independent) Artist.
JOHN VICKERS (TUSC)
Links
Comments - 105 Responses on “Bolton West”
  1. One of the few middle class seats the Tories won in 2015

  2. Anyone know much about this seat?

    I know a little bit about the Atherton area and, based on that part, I could see this one being somewhere where turnout might improve for Labour based on Corbyn and the manifesto. Also an area where the UKIP vote might not be guaranteed to split to Tories in the same way as elsewhere. But obviously it includes a lot (more?) of leafy bits which I don’t really know except to pass through.

    Maybe one that could be better for Labour than the UNS? Probably not one where Labour stood a chance unless the polls narrow further?

  3. Con 47.9 (+7.3)
    Lab 46.1 (+7.1)
    UKIP 3.1 (-12.2)
    LD 2.9 (-1.1)

    Undoubtedly one of the better Conservative results in the north west.

  4. Definitely. The incumbency factor?

  5. Cons Gains in the NW so far include:

    Horwich, Bolton

    Standish, Wigan

    Kersal, Salford

    Saddleworth S, Oldham

    Ainsdale, Cambridge, Dukes – Southport

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