Birmingham, Hall Green

2015 Result:
Conservative: 8329 (17.7%)
Labour: 28147 (59.8%)
Lib Dem: 5459 (11.6%)
Green: 2200 (4.7%)
UKIP: 2131 (4.5%)
Respect: 780 (1.7%)
MAJORITY: 19818 (42.1%)

Category: Ultra-safe Labour seat

Geography: West Midlands. Part of the Birmingham council area.

Main population centres: Moseley, Hall Green, Springfield.

Profile: A seat in urban Birmingham, England`s second city. Hall Green is towards the centre of Birmingham and consists of the wards of Hall Green, Moseley and Kings Heath, Sparkbrook and Springfield. While Hall Green itself is better off and owner-occupied, it is not typical of the seat which mostly much more of an inner-city seat, dominated by victorian terraces and council estates, labouring under economic hardship and unemployment. It has the highest asian and Muslim populations of the Birmingham seats, with a majority of the adult population coming from ethnic minority backgrounds.

Politics: The seat has little in common with the Birmingham Hall Green seat that existed before 2010 and returned Conservative MPs up until 1997, other than Hall Green itself this constituency is mostly the old Birmingham Sparkbrook and Small Heath seat, a seat with a far more solidly Labour past. In 2010 Labour`s majority was reduced to below ten percent thanks to a strong performance by Respect and Salma Yaqoob. Yaqoob subsequently left the Respect party and in 2015 this returned to being a safe Labour safe, with Respect getting under 1000 votes.


Current MP
ROGER GODSIFF (Labour) Born 1946, London. Educated at Catford Comprehensive School. Former bank clerk and trade union official. Lewisham councillor 1971-1990. Contested Birmingham Yardley 1983. First elected as MP for Birmingham Small Heath in 1992.
Past Results
2010
Con: 7320 (15%)
Lab: 16039 (33%)
LDem: 11988 (25%)
Resp: 12240 (25%)
Oth: 1140 (2%)
MAJ: 3799 (8%)
2005*
Con: 3480 (9%)
Lab: 13787 (36%)
LDem: 7727 (20%)
UKIP: 1342 (4%)
Oth: 11856 (31%)
MAJ: 2786 (7%)
2001
Con: 3948 (11%)
Lab: 21087 (58%)
LDem: 4841 (13%)
UKIP: 634 (2%)
Oth: 6137 (17%)
MAJ: 14950 (41%)
1997
Con: 7315 (18%)
Lab: 26841 (64%)
LDem: 3889 (9%)
Oth: 2983 (7%)
MAJ: 19526 (47%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005, name changed from Birmingham, Sparkbrook & Small Heath

Demographics
2015 Candidates
JAMES BIRD (Conservative)
ROGER GODSIFF (Labour) See above.
JERRY EVANS (Liberal Democrat) Archaeologist. Birmingham councillor since 2003. Contested Birmingham Hall Green 2010.
RASHPAL MONDAIR (UKIP)
ELLY STANTON (Green)
SHIRAZ PEER (Respect)
Links
Comments - 56 Responses on “Birmingham, Hall Green”
  1. For anoraks, I see that the increase in the Labour vote in 2015, 26%, was the largest for any party at any General Election!

    One does wonder what caused the respect vote to be so high in 2010.

  2. Respect heavily targeted Muslim voters post-Iraq and consequently (thanks in part, it must be said, to inattentive local Labour Parties) made inroads in places like this.

    Labour’s second and third best vote share increases were in Brent Central and Sheffield Hallam, so the top three were all in special circumstances.

  3. There was also a significant personal vote for Salma Yaqoob, who was well respected in Birmingham and not just among Muslims.

    Note also as I have posted before this is one of the three most Muslim constituencies in the country, with the adult population being just over 50%.

    Birmingham had a separate Muslim political party with seats on the council, prior to Respect, which was wiped out by the ballot rigging in 2004, and subsequently decided to join the Liberals, who were the initial beneficiaries of the Iraq blowback.

    Salma Yaqoob appealed particularly to young Muslims as she was outside the traditional patriarchal Pakistani/ Kashmiri politics that apply in Birmingham as in Bradford. Her retirement effectively killed Respect in Birmingham.

  4. True, although I imagine Galloway would stand here in the event of a By-election.

    Incidentally, analysis of all 300 Islamists convicted in the UK over the past 20 years shows over 10% come from wards here:

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/terror-map-reveals-danger-of-segregation-k33jddhk0

  5. Not really a surprise. This is what happens if you allow parallel societies to develop with values greatly different from those of the host society.

  6. The first of the amusing Freepost election addresses are being reviewed on another site.

    The best/worst so far is:

    “Unwanted, Unnecessary, Opportunistic” next to a photo of this MP – and yes it’s his own leaflet!

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)