Birmingham, Edgbaston

2015 Result:
Conservative: 15812 (38.3%)
Labour: 18518 (44.8%)
Lib Dem: 1184 (2.9%)
Green: 1371 (3.3%)
UKIP: 4154 (10.1%)
Christian: 163 (0.4%)
Independent: 91 (0.2%)
MAJORITY: 2706 (6.6%)

Category: Semi-marginal Labour seat

Geography: West Midlands. Part of the Birmingham council area.

Main population centres: Edgbaston, Quinton, Bartley Green, Harborne.

Profile: This is a largely middle-class seat of leafy suburbs in the South-West of Birmingham. It covers four council wards, Bartley Green, Edgbaston, Harbone and Quinton. The first three are safely Tory with Quinton more marginal, as it includes council estates like Woodgate Valley and Welsh House Farm. Parts of Edgbaston itself are also becoming more inner city in character, with more houses of multiple occupany and a higher proportion of ethnic minorites. The seat includes Bartley reservoir, Edgbaston Cricket Ground and the main campus of the University of Birmingham (although not all the students actually live here, they are more likely to be found in Selly Oak).

Politics: Traditionally Edgbaston was a Conservative seat and was held by the Conservatives for most of the twentieth century until falling to Labour in the 1997 landslide. Labour`s majority was reduced to only 6% by 2005 and the seat was a prime target for the Conservatives in 2010, but one they failed to take - it was the most vulnerable Labour-Conservative marginal seat that Labour managed to hold onto. The seat has been represented by a female MP since 1953: Edith Pitt was followed by Dame Jill Knight and now Gisela Stuart.


Current MP
GISELA STUART (Labour) Born 1955, Bavaria. Educated at Staat Realschule and Manchester Polytechnic. Former Lecturer. First elected as MP for Birmingham Edgbaston in 1997. PPS to Paul Boateng 1998-1999, Junior heath minister 1999-2001. Along with David Heathcote-Amony was on the steeting group of the European Convention that drew up the European Constitution, but was strongly critical of the constitution that finally emerged.
Past Results
2010
Con: 15620 (38%)
Lab: 16894 (41%)
LDem: 6387 (15%)
BNP: 1196 (3%)
Oth: 1474 (4%)
MAJ: 1274 (3%)
2005*
Con: 14116 (38%)
Lab: 16465 (44%)
LDem: 5185 (14%)
GRN: 1116 (3%)
Oth: 749 (2%)
MAJ: 2349 (6%)
2001
Con: 13819 (37%)
Lab: 18517 (49%)
LDem: 4528 (12%)
Oth: 885 (2%)
MAJ: 4698 (12%)
1997
Con: 18712 (39%)
Lab: 23554 (49%)
LDem: 4691 (10%)
Oth: 443 (1%)
MAJ: 4842 (10%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
LUKE EVANS (Conservative) Educated at Birmingham University. Doctor.
GISELA STUART (Labour) See above.
LEE DARGUE (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Open University. Health and safety advisor.
GRAHAM SHORT (UKIP) Born 1946, Birmingham. Micro-artist.
PHIL SIMPSON (Green) Contested Birmingham Edgbaston 2010.
GABRIEL UKANDU (Christian)
HENNA RAI (Independent) Educated at Leicester University.
Links
Comments - 256 Responses on “Birmingham, Edgbaston”
  1. Northfield is the seat I hear bad reports from Labour sources and You Gov gives Labour only a three point lead. Erdington has the same size lead as Edgbaston.

  2. PT – Yes, this isn’t one of the 40. I think BM11 just assumed she’d be used here.

    BM11 – is that one of the seats where the young lad Gary Sambrook is candidate? The one who gained the Kingstanding ward in a by-election.

    The electionleaflets’ site has a leaflet from Wirral that Ian Lewis produced for the Locals and I can see why Labour lost control. It basically told voters who was best placed to beat Labour in each ward, ie Greens here, Inds here, Cons here. Very clever but I doubt other Cons Assocs would allow it but these days he is in charge of Wirral Cons. If only he stood they might have won at the last GE.

  3. Former Lab MP here Gisela Stewart is backing the Tories this time. Not surprising really.

  4. Apologies…didn’t see that BM11 had already updated on this.

  5. To be fair, the programme for Brexit we are going to get – if we do indeed get it – looks like it will be much closer to her vision than Dan Hannan’s.

  6. Lancs – Gary Sambrook is standing in Northfield.

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