Beaconsfield
2015 Result:
Conservative: 33621 (63.2%)
Labour: 6074 (11.4%)
Lib Dem: 3927 (7.4%)
Green: 2231 (4.2%)
UKIP: 7310 (13.8%)
MAJORITY: 26311 (49.5%)
Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat
Geography: South East, Buckinghamshire. The whole of the South Bucks council area and part of the Wycombe council area.
Main population centres: Beaconsfield, Gerrards Cross, Marlow, Denham, Flackwell Heath, Burnham, Stoke Poges.
Profile: An extremely properous part of the London commuter belt, located in South Buckinghamshire just outside Greater London, the M25 runs through the east of the seat. The constituency roughly corresponds to the area between the M40 and the River Thames. It is an area of affluence, picturesque villages, grammar schools and good transport links into London. Pinewood studios is based in the east of the constituency at Iver Heath, and is home to the largest soundstage in Europe. The studios have been used for many major film productions, including the Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, the Aliens films, Bond films, Pirates of the Carribean and the Hobbit. The constituency also includes Dorneywood, one of the grace-and-favour homes reserved for senior cabinet ministers lies within the seat near Burnham. John Prescott was famously photographed here playing croquet during the last government, but it is more normally used by (and, indeed, is currently used by) the Chancellor of the Exchequer.
Politics: This is an extremely safe Conservative seat, the Tory share of the vote here was one of the five highest in 2015 and their majority almost hit fifty percent. At the local level all but one of the councillors on South Bucks council were Conservative in 2015. The seat covers much of the area of Stoke and Burnham Hundreds... better known as two of the three Chiltern Hundreds, the Stewardship of which Members of Parliament are appointed to in order to resign from Parliament.
| Con: | 32053 (61%) |
| Lab: | 6135 (12%) |
| LDem: | 10271 (20%) |
| UKIP: | 2597 (5%) |
| Oth: | 1434 (3%) |
| MAJ: | 21782 (41%) |
| Con: | 24126 (55%) |
| Lab: | 8422 (19%) |
| LDem: | 8873 (20%) |
| UKIP: | 2102 (5%) |
| MAJ: | 15253 (35%) |
| Con: | 20233 (50%) |
| Lab: | 9168 (23%) |
| LDem: | 9117 (23%) |
| UKIP: | 1626 (4%) |
| MAJ: | 11065 (28%) |
| Con: | 24709 (49%) |
| Lab: | 10063 (20%) |
| LDem: | 10722 (21%) |
| Oth: | 2510 (5%) |
| MAJ: | 13987 (28%) |
*There were boundary changes after 2005
Only just spotted little Tristan & Tim’s love in of abuse upthread.
The greatest aspect is that they simply do not realise that by their very behaviour they increase the number of those with the views they despise.
Tim appears to believe he is the arbiter of what a ‘reasonably minded person’ is! In his view, only those who agree with his world view (one that keeps losing in the UK & USA). Has he ever wondered why? Oh, of course, it’s those nasty ordinary voters he despises so much.
The ultimate irony being Tristan, Tim & PT are continually the ones making false accusations about myself, Runnymede, HH et al, yet accuse us of being the ‘nasty’ ones!
The life of the earnestly self righteous.
Oh grow up you cretin.
Incidentally, I don’t think HH will be too happy at being lumped in with the other names mentioned!
Ladbrokes Odds on Indies:
2/1 Dominic Grieve (Beaconsfield)
5/2 Frank Field (Birkenhead)
3/1 Mike Gapes (Ilford S)
4/1 David Gauke (Herts SW)
8/1 Anna Soubry (Broxtowe)
20/1 Chris Williamson (Derby N)
25/1 Gavin Shukar (Luton S)
Tories on 56 in Beaconsfield but 46 in Herts South west and 45 in Broxtowe (Lab 35).
Labour on 49 in Birkenhead, 60 in Ilford South, 36 in Derby North (44 Tory) and 46 in Luton South.
Beaconsfield, constituency voting intention:
Con: 53% (-12)
Grieve: 36% (+36)
Lab: 24% (+3)
Green: 3% (-)
via DeltaPollUK
21 – 26 Nov
Changes with 2017.
Correction.
Beaconsfield, constituency voting intention:
Con: 53% (-12)
Grieve: 36% (+36)
Lab: 7% (-14)
Green: 1% (-2)
via DeltapollUK
, 21 – 26 Nov
Changes with 2017
Decent performance by Grieve in such a rock solid Tory seat. Certainly on course for a much stronger showing than Gauke or Soubry.
Well Gauke has lib dem opposition and Broxtowe is a standard marginal seat.
I wonder to what extent most of the people voting for Grieve actually agree with the majority of his political opinions aside from Brexit?
My sense is, probably less than half of them!
Probably not the best day to be a QC standing.
It’s been revealed that Leveson QC let Khan out, as the Court of Appeal overruled the original Trial Judge.
As May when Home Sec said to Ken Clarke: “I lock them up and you [QCs] let them out.”