Ashfield

2015 Result:
Conservative: 10628 (22.4%)
Labour: 19448 (41%)
Lib Dem: 7030 (14.8%)
UKIP: 10150 (21.4%)
Others: 153 (0.3%)
MAJORITY: 8820 (18.6%)

Category: Safe Labour seat

Geography: East Midlands, Nottinghamshire. The Ashfield council area and part of the Broxtowe council area.

Main population centres: Sutton-in-Ashfield, Kirkby in Ashfield, Eastwood.

Profile: Ashfield is a former mining consituency in West Nottinghamshire. With the closure of the mines came the economic difficulties often associated with the decline of the mining industry, and the area is now gradually transitioning towards being more of a commuter area for Nottingham. The area was aligned with the Union of Democratic Mineworkers during the 1980s miners strike.

Politics: Ashfield has a history of being a very safe Labour area, though it was briefly held by the Conservatives in the 1970s after a by-election win and became a marginal at the height of Tory popularity in the 1980s, and at the height of Lib Dem popularity in 2010. In 2015 Labour re-established their strong lead in the seat with the Liberal Democrats dropping to third place.


Current MP
GLORIA DE PIERO (Labour) Born 1972, Bradford. Educated at Yorkshire Martyrs Catholic College and University of Central England. Former political correspondent for GMTV. First elected as MP for Ashfield in 2010. Shadow Minister for Women 2013-2015. Shadow Minister for Young people since 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 10698 (22%)
Lab: 16239 (34%)
LDem: 16047 (33%)
BNP: 2781 (6%)
Oth: 2431 (5%)
MAJ: 192 (0%)
2005*
Con: 10220 (24%)
Lab: 20433 (49%)
LDem: 5829 (14%)
Oth: 5569 (13%)
MAJ: 10213 (24%)
2001
Con: 9607 (24%)
Lab: 22875 (58%)
LDem: 4428 (11%)
Oth: 2440 (6%)
MAJ: 13268 (34%)
1997
Con: 10251 (20%)
Lab: 32979 (65%)
LDem: 4882 (10%)
Oth: 595 (1%)
MAJ: 22728 (45%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
HELEN HARRISON (Conservative) Educated at Our Lady and Pope John School and Liverpool University. Physiotherapist.
GLORIA DE PIERO (Labour) See above.
PHILIP SMITH (Liberal Democrat)
SIMON ASHCROFT (UKIP) Business consultant.
MIKE BUCHANAN (Justice for Men and Boys) Born 1957. Writer and publisher.
Links
Comments - 293 Responses on “Ashfield”
  1. Its to confuse the enemy….

  2. If Labour goes into meltdoen this could become a very tight, and I suspect bitter, fight between Labour and all of the Conservatives, LibDems and UKIP.

  3. With its 20 member branch in Ashfield having to be merged with the Mansfield branch.. I think the answer is obvious..

  4. Your comment isn’t ridiculous at all. I don’t know the areas but I would have thought that the simple fact that the mining industry has all but died out….plus with over 30 years having passed since the miner’s strike…..just the reduction in visceral anti-Toryism alone would have a marginally beneficial effect.

    I have driven up to a friend in Huddersfield a few times via the A1, and then cut across the a57 past Worksop. I’ve been struck by the amount of new development in what I believe to be a relatively Labour area of Bassetlaw…it’s over simplistic I appreciate to equate new development with an increased Tory vote, but it’s unlikely to harm it.

  5. The new Labour Party members are probably concentratedd largely in selected seats, for instance in London, inner cities and university seats. I cannot see all that many feminist fanatics hanging out in places like Ashfield.

    It is far from impossible that the Tories, or perhaps UKIP, could take this seat even while Labour is making yet more gains in London.

    I don’t know the local dmographics in detail, but I suspect that Bolsover is likely to be abolished or redistributed until ithe constituency becomes almost unrecognisable. In any case, Dennis Skinner may not be able to pass all his vote onto his successor.

  6. “I also think that soon the Tories will be unrepresented in most of the urban centres and Labour unrepresented largely in the rural areas (including former mining seats)” – that wouldn’t surprise me at all. Am I right in thinking that’s more or less the case in Australia (Labor in cities, Liberal/National in rural areas with elections decided in the suburbs)?

  7. I don’t know about consitutency politics in Australia, but Labour in the UK appears to be following some of their counterparts abroad where Labour has become a middle-class, somewhat right of centre, party.

  8. Perhaps I could add that Australia now has absolutely huge coal mines in the middle of nowhere, largely exporting to China. However, they are very heavily mechanised so I doubt how politically significant their work forces are.

  9. Apparently Jason Zadrozny and two LibDem councillors have gone off to “start their own party”..

  10. Are Zadrozny’s legal issues resolved?

  11. Simon- you appeared to gave commented on an English seat. ENGLAND.

    Kindly rush back, before the witch Nicola canes your fat ar*e.

  12. The lib dems no longer have any councillors in the Ashfield council area as they have all joined the Ashfield Independents.

  13. ‘Nottinghamshire Councillor charged with a number of sex offences’

    http://www.nottinghamshire.police.uk/blog/2016-02-29/nottinghamshire-councillor-charged-number-sex-offences

  14. Ashfield — 70% Leave.

  15. By historical standards in this seat, Lib Dem did very well – not many seats that they didn’t already hold that they produced a 2015 result at least as good as 2005.

    Which ties up with earlier reports of their having a popular enthusiastic candidate locally, and some rapid development of strength. Though with hindsight, 2015 was of course never going to be their year. If they’re sensible, they will be continuing to work it as we speak.

  16. I wonder how many (anti-Labour) tactical votes were wasted on Lib Dems here in 2015, and if Conservatives will be the main beneficiaries of them (though Lib Dem-UKIP switching is more common than often given credit for, too).

  17. @Plopwellian Tory

    Probably. If the Lib Dem vote crumbles away to nothing (from tactical unwind) the Tories could probably get in to the high 20s here.

  18. Recount here.

  19. Lab hold, 400

  20. I see Gloria did manage to hold on.

  21. My thesis about the Lib Dem vote here in 2010 and 2015 being a Tory vote in disguise (expressed on another thread, I can’t remember which) seems to have been correct. 2015 was an odd result that flattered de Piero. With the LDs now completely out of the picture and not an option for the people who used to vote for them here due to their Remain stance it has reverted to being ultra-marginal.

  22. Talk about a rollercoaster ride for De Piero.

  23. Ashfield Ind 1,329 51% (+ 38%)
    Labour 629 24% (-7%)
    Cons 532 20% (-11%)
    UKIP 66 3% (-16%)
    LD 46 2%

    Ashfield Ind Gain from Cons

  24. A rare error from you Lancs Observer

    This ward (Hucknall North) is in Sherwood constituency

    Amazingly given the 2017 election result, there are still zero Tory councillors in Ashfield constituency

  25. Tbf there arent any Tory cllrs in Watford

  26. Or in Morley & Outwood.

    Are there any in Mansfield ?

  27. I’ve a feeling the Tories have retained the odd councillor in Mansfield, though as in Ashfield they are heavily impacted by independent candidates in local elections. The last Tory district councillor elected in Ashfield constituency boundaries lost their seat (I think) in 2003.

  28. Mansfield is almost entirely run by the Independent Forum

  29. There is still one ward in the Watford constituency with Conservative councillors, one of the Three Rivers wards. Watford borough council doesn’t have any at present.

  30. Richard – the independents in Morley & Outwood are generally Tory sympathisers.

    I think it’s a case of the Tories standing paper candidates as long as the independents retain popularity and candidates capable of winning.

    The Tories ought to be able to win Morley North blindfolded in a normal scenario, South would go to Labour comfortably and thus it’s probably worth the compromise.

    I only know a couple of the independents but both are perfectly competent Cllrs (both Morley north) who you’d be quite content to leave alone.

  31. Checked and, as I guessed upthread, the Tories do still have a councillor in Mansfield, though only one left now, in Kingsway ward.

  32. Has anyone seen “Labour of Love”?? James Graham writer. Martin Freeman is a Blairite MP in Ashfield fighting against the older Left including CLP agent.

  33. Sounds exciting

  34. Nobody yet mentioned this so I will – I heard Jason Zadrozny’s child abuse trial collapsed due to insufficient evidence. Some very serious questions need to be asked of the CPS and Notts police, as well as the local Labour party which has goaded Zadrozny mercilessly. It’s hard not to conclude that his ordeal was at least partly politically motivated.

  35. You need to explain what you mean.

  36. Apparently I’m one of UKPR’s two problem homophobes so I won’t

  37. My my. Finally learning to keep your trap shut re: issues you know nothing about. Well done.

  38. Remarkable you have such a good understanding of who I am and what I know about….for all you know I might be a raving queen pretending to be married….and you might be a fat middle aged granddad pretending to be gay….such is the mystery of online anonymous discussions.

  39. Pretend to be gay? Why would someone do that?
    Anyway. .saw Labour of Love last night. Not really funny imo and no real insights. Disappointing, although Tamsin Greig is very watchable. Those interested in constituency politics should see it however.

  40. You certainly get around Alex. What was the plot?

    Re Ashfield, Zadrozny has been alleging ever since his arrest that the local Labour party set him up so he wasn’t in a position to defeat them in 2015. I’m obviously in no position to know if that’s right but the police/CPS have serious questions to answer that they have prosecuted this case for 2 and a half years based on insufficient evidence. That’s a long time to ruin someone’s reputation given the seriousness of the alleged crime.

  41. It’s a comedy about an MP, David Lyons, and his struggles to do the right thing as he returns to the East Midlands of his childhood to represent an unglamorous constituency in which he’s never quite made welcome by a local party that mistrusts his cosy relationship with one Tony Blair.

    Lyons ends up with the lady CLP agent kissing right at the end and falling in love.

    It’s interesting (even tho it’s completely fictional) there is no suggestion that the (unhappliy) married MP has an affair with the vivacious attractive CLP agent until the very end on the day of his narrow win in GE2017.

  42. I went to see Labour of Love last night with my girlfriend after spending the previous evening meeting Gordon Brown (we have a very Laboury relationship) and have to disagree with Alex F – I thought it was great, although the MP’s wife was a bit of a heavy handed stereotype.

    Lots of great attention to detail for nerds like us (the furniture in his office is standard issue stuff) and I think captured the emotional battle a lot of party members go through. Perhaps some stuff that wouldn’t make sense to non-Labour people, but well acted and some good jokes for politicos nonetheless.

    We met Martin Freeman at the stage door afterwards and with fans like that I’m surprised he has the tolerance to do it.

  43. I’m kinda very jel of u

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