Alyn & Deeside

2015 Result:
Conservative: 13197 (31.9%)
Labour: 16540 (40%)
Lib Dem: 1733 (4.2%)
Plaid Cymru: 1608 (3.9%)
Green: 976 (2.4%)
UKIP: 7260 (17.6%)
MAJORITY: 3343 (8.1%)

Category: Semi-marginal Labour seat

Geography: Wales, Clwyd. Part of the Flintshire council area.

Main population centres: Connah`s Quay, Queensferry, Shotton, Buckley, Caergwrle.

Profile: Situated on the English border (and with around half the population born outside Wales) Alyn and Deeside is geographically one of the smallest Welsh constituencies. The main town in the constituency is Connah`s Quay, along with Buckley to the South and the village of Caergwrle. Deeside is a traditional industrial area - the constituency contains Connah`s Quay power station, the Tata steel plant, the Toyota Engine factory and BAE Systems in Broughton where the wings for the Airbus A380 are manufactured.

Politics: A reliable Labour seat, held by the party since its creation in 1983 although not always by large margins.


Current MP
MARK TAMI (Labour) Born 1962, Enfield. Educated at Enfield Grammar and Swansea University. Former trade union officer. First elected as MP for Alyn and Deeside in 2001.
Past Results
2010
Con: 12885 (32%)
Lab: 15804 (40%)
LDem: 7308 (18%)
PC: 1549 (4%)
Oth: 2377 (6%)
MAJ: 2919 (7%)
2005
Con: 8953 (25%)
Lab: 17331 (49%)
LDem: 6174 (17%)
PC: 1320 (4%)
Oth: 1718 (5%)
MAJ: 8378 (24%)
2001
Con: 9303 (26%)
Lab: 18525 (52%)
LDem: 4585 (13%)
PC: 1182 (3%)
Oth: 1826 (5%)
MAJ: 9222 (26%)
1997
Con: 9552 (23%)
Lab: 25955 (62%)
LDem: 4076 (10%)
PC: 738 (2%)
Oth: 1627 (4%)
MAJ: 16403 (39%)

Demographics
2015 Candidates
LAURA KNIGHTLY (Conservative) Born North Wales. Educated at Sheffield University. Recruitment consultant.
MARK TAMI (Labour) See above.
TUDOR JONES (Liberal Democrat)
BLAIR SMILLIE (UKIP) Managing director.
ALASDAIR IBBOTSON (Green)
JACQUELINE HURST (Plaid)
Links
Comments - 109 Responses on “Alyn & Deeside”
  1. Carl Sargeant, the Labour AM for this constituency, has been found dead after being sacked as a minister in the Welsh assembly government and being subject to a party investigation into his conduct. This is a terrible time for his friends and family.

  2. Really sad news. It seems he was liked by all sides – Mark Reckless has tweeted today.

    I think that the assumption of innocence until guilt is proven needs to be re-iterated more than ever, and elected representatives need support from their colleagues whilst investigations are being carried out.

    This Tory dossier hasn’t helped matters, I don’t think.

    I’m all for unpleasant (or worse) behaviour being stamped out and those responsible being punished (as I’m sure almost everyone is – in all work places) but this ought to temper things somewhat.

  3. “…this ought to temper things somewhat.”

    I thought the death of Jo Cox would calm down the EU referendum. It didn’t.

    The death itself is a tragedy, but even more sadly, this man’s death plays right into the hands of the “witch hunt” crowd. “See, look what these baseless allegations have gone and done”, they will say.

  4. By-election on Tuesday 6 February. A Tuesday because that is the last legal date and they wanted to defer as long as possible for the family.

  5. Lots of allegations here including election law fraud:

    http://www.deeside.com/polls-opened-morning-hawarden-community-councils-two-election/

    [Incidentally, I realise we don’t bother reporting on parish Cllr by-elections on here, but I just had a quick look at a few from Devon to Scotland over the past quarter and it’s good to see that people really do appear to vote for the best or most well-known local person, ie LDs and UKIP have done well in a few, seemingly because of the candidate, not the Party]

  6. Sargeant’s son was won the AM by-election; he has previously stated his determination to clear his father’s name

  7. Thought I’d use my own seat to try and gauge opinions on GE19 so far, in relation to national polling. Of course, we are all aware of how badly out the polls were last time, but I’d be interested to know what the feeling on the ground is elsewhere.

    Here in Alyn & Deeside, this is the sort of seat that would comfortably turn blue if current polling were correct. My experience on the ground is very different. Yes, there is a spattering of anger about Brexit (this is a Leave-voting seat) and a not insignificant amount of “I’ll never vote for Jeremy Corbyn” on the doorstep, mixed with some frustration about the perceived ‘anonymity’ of the MP, Mark Tami.

    However, I’d say the response is largely similar to how it was in 2017, which just doesn’t go along with the polls. Admittedly, it is just one seat and having lived here all my life I would be amazed if it ever went Tory any time soon. But in my wider family and friendship circles, even people who would ordinarily vote Tory just aren’t interested in doing so this time. So it can be quite jarring when you see a poll putting the Conservative’s on 47%.

    Are other contributors who are on the ground getting a similar vibe?

  8. Labour campaigners in London (ones who are realistic about the election) are still planing to spend electon day in target seats not defending. Opposite story in the West Midlands.

  9. I was at the count here and it required 3 recounts. Tami originally won by just 17 votes before a bundle of Labour votes were found in the Conservative pile. Put the majority up to 200+ at which point the Tory candidate refused to concede and another recount was ordered.

    So Mark Tami remains the only block of red in a now very blue-looking political map of North Wales.

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of polls.

You are not currently logged into UKPollingReport. Registration is not compulsory, but is strongly encouraged. Either login here, or register here (commenters who have previously registered on the Constituency Guide section of the site *should* be able to use their existing login)